Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Emerging Markets’ Growth Fuels Confidence to Claim Bigger Say in Global Policy Making

Emerging Markets’ Growth Fuels Confidence to Claim Bigger Say in Global Policy Making

Discussion

Emerging markets are nations with social or business activity in the process of rapid growth and industrialization. Currently, there are around 28 emerging markets in the world, with the economies of China and India considered to be the largest.

India ranks among the well known emerging markets in the global economic scenario. Since the economic liberalization policies were undertaken in the 1990s, emerging market India has really prospered which has helped to boost the Indian economy to a great extent.

In simple terms, emerging market is used to evaluate the socio economic scenario of the country in terms of the growth of the market and industrial development. According to the recent survey, there are around 28 emerging markets in the world out of which India ranks in the second place.

The main factors behind this booming emerging market are the economic liberalization and the perfect competition market, the high standard of living and per capita income, the development of medical facilities and infrastructure, the increase in foreign investments and so on. Over the few years, there has been a significant growth of the Indian market which has resulted in the high Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The average annual growth rate ranges between 6 to 7 %. The growth rate of GDP was around 6.7 % during the financial year 2008-09.

To boost the emerging market India, the government is also taking some positive steps. The main aim is to increase the growth rate to around 9 %. Due to the favorable emerging market, more and more industries are being set up and the customer base is also increasing. Currently, India is the 4th largest economic system in the world in terms of the purchasing power parity.

The recent economic development has also put a positive impact on the various sectors. There has been a significant development in the agricultural, service and industrial sector in the country. Today, to complement the rapid pace of economic growth, the service sector contributes around 54 % of the annual Gross Domestic Product.

Conclusion

The pendulum of power to make policies seems to be shifting towards the emerging market economies like India, China and Brazil. For instance, the voting rights of emerging market economies is set to grow in UNO. China and the ten ASEAN countries have established a free trade zone combining 1.9bn people and eliminating tariffs on 90% of their traded goods. This is likely to reinforce the redirection of trade flows involving China from which more goods will flow to the rest of the world. China has overtaken Japan as the Second Largest economy in the world and India is the fourth largest economy as on now and it is expected that it will become the second largest by 2050. Meanwhile, bilateral and regional free trade agreements are proliferating fast as an alternative to a global (WTO) agreement.One can expect the internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB). It is expected that sooner or later RMB may be linked to a currency basket (in which the US dollar probably will have less weight).

Considering the above it can be surely said that in future the Emerging Markets’ Growth will Fuels Confidence to Claim Bigger Say in Global Policy Making.

Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Impact is globalization....??


           Impact of Globalisation in India
 
What is globalization :

Friedman Globalization is a process of interaction and integration among the people, companies, and governments of different nations, a process driven by international   trade and investment and aided by information technology. This process has effects on the environment, on culture , on political systems, on economic development and prosperity, and on human physical well-being in societies around the world.
Globalization is not new, though. For thousands of years, people—and, later, corporations—have been buying from and selling to each other in lands at great distances, such as through the famed Silk Road across Central Asia that connected China and Europe during the Middle Ages. Likewise, for centuries, people and corporations have invested in enterprises in other countries. In fact, many of the features of the current wave of globalization are similar to those prevailing before the outbreak of the First World War in 1914. 
But policy and technological developments of the past few decades have spurred increases in cross-border trade, investment, and migration so large that many observers believe the world has entered a qualitatively new phase in its economic development. Since 1950, for example, the volume of world trade has increased by 20 times, and from just 1997 to 1999 flows of foreign investment nearly doubled, from $468 billion to $827 billion. Distinguishing this current wave of globalization from earlier ones, author Thomas has said that today globalization is “farther, faster, cheaper, and deeper.

 But policy and technological developments of the past few decades have spurred increases in cross-border trade, investment, and migration so large that many observers believe the world has entered a qualitatively new phase in its economic development. Since 1950, for example, the volume of world trade has increased by 20 times, and from just 1997 to 1999 flows of foreign investment nearly doubled, from $468 billion to $827 billion. Distinguishing this current wave of globalization from earlier ones, author Thomas Friedman has said that today globalization is “farther, faster, cheaper, and deeper.”
This current wave of globalization has been driven by policies that have opened economies domestically and internationally. In the years since the Second World War, and especially during the past two decades, many governments have adopted free-market economic systems, vastly increasing their own productive potential and creating myriad new opportunities for international trade and investment. Governments also have negotiated dramatic reductions in barriers to commerce and have established international agreements to promote trade in goods, services, and investment. Taking advantage of new opportunities in foreign markets, corporations have built foreign factories and established production and marketing arrangements with foreign partners. A defining feature of globalization, therefore, is an international industrial and financial business structure.
Technology has been the other principal driver of globalization. Advances in information technology, in particular, have dramatically transformed economic life. Information technologies have given all sorts of individual economic actors—consumers, investors, businesses—valuable new tools for identifying and pursuing economic opportunities, including faster and more informed analyses of economic trends around the world, easy transfers of assets, and collaboration with far-flung partners.
Globalization is deeply controversial, however. Proponents of globalization argue that it allows poor countries and their citizens to develop economically and raise their standards of living, while opponents of globalization claim that the creation of an unfettered international free market has benefited multinational corporations in the Western world at the expense of local enterprises, local cultures, and common people. Resistance to globalization has therefore taken shape both at a popular and at a governmental level as people and governments try to manage the flow of capital, labor, goods, and ideas that constitute the current wave of globalization.
Globalisation is the new buzzword that has come to dominate the world since the nineties of the last century with the end of the cold war and the break-up of the former Soviet Union and the global trend towards the rolling ball. The frontiers of the state with increased reliance on the market economy and renewed faith in the private capital and resources, a process of structural adjustment spurred by the studies and influences of the World Bank and other International organisations have started in many of the developing countries. Also Globalisation has brought in new opportunities to developing countries. Greater access to developed country markets and technology transfer hold out promise improved productivity and higher living standard. But globalisation has also thrown up new challenges like growing inequality across and within nations, volatility in financial market and environmental deteriorations. Another negative aspect of globalisation is that a great majority of developing countries remain removed from the process. Till the nineties the process of globalisation of the Indian economy was constrained by the barriers to trade and investment liberalisation of trade, investment and financial flows initiated in the nineties has progressively lowered the barriers to competition and hastened the pace of globalisation
Impact on India:
India opened up the economy in the early nineties following a major crisis that led by a foreign exchange crunch that dragged the economy close to defaulting on loans. The response was a slew of Domestic and external sector policy measures partly prompted by the immediate needs and partly by the demand of the multilateral organisations. The new policy regime radically pushed forward in favour of amore open and market oriented economy.
Major measures initiated as a part of the liberalisation and globalisation strategy in the early nineties included scrapping of the industrial licensing regime, reduction in the number of areas reserved for the public sector, amendment of the monopolies and the restrictive trade practices act, start of the privatisation programme, reduction in tariff rates and change over to market determined exchange rates.
Over the years there has been a steady liberalisation of the current account transactions, more and more sectors opened up for foreign direct investments and portfolio investments facilitating entry of foreign investors in telecom, roads, ports, airports, insurance and other major sectors.
The Indian tariff rates reduced sharply over the decade from a weighted average of 72.5% in 1991-92 to 24.6 in 1996-97.Though tariff rates went up slowly in the late nineties it touched 35.1% in 2001-02. India is committed to reduced tariff rates. Peak tariff rates are to be reduced to be reduced to the minimum with a peak rate of 20%, in another 2 years most non-tariff barriers have been dismantled by march 2002, including almost all quantitative restrictions.
India is Global:
The liberalisation of the domestic economy and the increasing integration of India with the global economy have helped step up GDP growth rates, which picked up from 5.6% in 1990-91 to a peak level of 77.8% in 1996-97. Growth rates have slowed down since the country has still bee able to achieve 5-6% growth rate in three of the last six years. Though growth rates has slumped to the lowest level 4.3% in 2002-03 mainly because of the worst droughts in two decades the growth rates are expected to go up close to 70% in 2003-04. A Global comparison shows that India is now the fastest growing just after China.
This is major improvement given that India is growth rate in the 1970's was very low at 3% and GDP growth in countries like Brazil, Indonesia, Korea, and Mexico was more than twice that of India. Though India's average annual growth rate almost doubled in the eighties to 5.9% it was still lower than the growth rate in China, Korea and Indonesia. The pick up in GDP growth has helped improve India's global position. Consequently India's position in the global economy has improved from the 8th position in 1991 to 4th place in 2001. When GDP is calculated on a purchasing power parity basis.


Globalisation and Poverty:
Globalisation in the form of increased integration though trade and investment is an important reason why much progress has been made in reducing poverty and global inequality over recent decades. But it is not the only reason for this often unrecognised progress, good national polices , sound institutions and domestic political stability also matter.
Despite this progress, poverty remains one of the most serious international challenges we face up to 1.2 billion of the developing world 4.8 billion people still live in extreme poverty.
But the proportion of the world population living in poverty has been steadily declining and since 1980 the absolute number of poor people has stopped rising and appears to have fallen in recent years despite strong population growth in poor countries. If the proportion living in poverty had not fallen since 1987 alone a further 215million people would be living in extreme poverty today.
India has to concentrate on five important areas or things to follow to achieve this goal. The areas like technological entrepreneurship, new business openings for small and medium enterprises, importance of quality management, new prospects in rural areas and privatisation of financial institutions. The manufacturing of technology and management of technology are two different significant areas in the country.
There will be new prospects in rural India. The growth of Indian economy very much depends upon rural participation in the global race. After implementing the new economic policy the role of villages got its own significance because of its unique outlook and branding methods. For example food processing and packaging are the one of the area where new entrepreneurs can enter into a big way. It may be organised in a collective way with the help of co-operatives to meet the global demand.
Understanding the current status of globalisation is necessary for setting course for future. For all nations to reap the full benefits of globalisation it is essential to create a level playing field. President Bush's recent proposal to eliminate all tariffs on all manufactured goods by 2015 will do it. In fact it may exacerbate the prevalent inequalities. According to this proposal, tariffs of 5% or less on all manufactured goods will be eliminated by 2005 and higher than 5% will be lowered to 8%. Starting 2010 the 8% tariffs will be lowered each year until they are eliminated by 2015.

GDP Growth rate:
The Indian economy is passing through a difficult phase caused by several unfavourable domestic and external developments; Domestic output and Demand conditions were adversely affected by poor performance in agriculture in the past two years. The global economy experienced an overall deceleration and recorded an output growth of 2.4% during the past year growth in real GDP in 2001-02 was 5.4% as per the Economic Survey in 2000-01. The performance in the first quarter of the financial year is5.8% and second quarter is 6.1%.


Export and Import:
India's Export and Import in the year 2001-02 was to the extent of 32,572 and 38,362 million respectively. Many Indian companies have started becoming respectable players in the International scene. Agriculture exports account for about 13 to 18% of total annual of annual export of the country. In 2000-01 Agricultural products valued at more than US $ 6million were exported from the country 23% of which was contributed by the marine products alone. Marine products in recent years have emerged as the single largest contributor to the total agricultural export from the country accounting for over one fifth of the total agricultural exports. Cereals (mostly basmati rice and non-basmati rice), oil seeds, tea and coffee are the other prominent products each of which accounts fro nearly 5 to 10% of the countries total agricultural exports.


Consequences:
The implications of globalisation for a national economy are many. Globalisation has intensified interdependence and competition between economies in the world market. This is reflected in Interdependence in regard to trading in goods and services and in movement of capital. As a result domestic economic developments are not determined entirely by domestic policies and market conditions. Rather, they are influenced by both domestic and international policies and economic conditions. It is thus clear that a globalising economy, while formulating and evaluating its domestic policy cannot afford to ignore the possible actions and reactions of policies and developments in the rest of the world. This constrained the policy option available to the government which implies loss of policy autonomy to some extent, in decision-making at the national level.

SUBMITTED TO:           
MR. GURDEEPAK SINGH
SOURCE:
GOOGLE
BY:
SANJAY VERMA

Thursday, September 15, 2011

BSE's Certifications.....

Many of you have also asked me about Bombay Stock Exchange Certifications

These are

BSE's Certificate on Derivatives Exchange
BSE Certification on Securities Markets
BSE's Certification on Central Depository
BSE Certification on Corporate Governance
Link is

http://www.bseindia.com/training/bcde_test.asp

And check under Training/Certification for different modules.....

Cheers....
Gurdeepak....

NSE's Certifications in Financial Markets....

Hello my Friends....

Many of you with Finance major are asking me about the modules and certifications about NCFM. Here is the link which provide all the details about various certifications, modules, test dates, centres and registration procedure....

http://www.nseindia.com/content/ncfm/ncfm_about.htm

I am really glad that most of you are thinking on these lines and would like to start now....
Yes this is the right time to start....

For any assistance, please don't hesitate to ask.....

Cheers....
Gurdeepak....

Anatomy of a fraud (Small Case Study)

Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Have finacial markets lost faith in politicain ability to handle their economies

Sunday, 28 August 2011

Have finacial markets lost faith in politicain ability to handle their economies


Question no. 62

Have financial markets lost faith in politician’s ability to handle their economies.

 INTRODUCTION 

 Financial Market:-

Broad term describing any market place where buyers and sellers participate in the trade of assets such as equities, bonds, currencies and derivatives. Financial markets are typically defined by having transparent pricing, basic regulations on trading, costs and fees and market forces determining the prices of securities that trade.

Some financial markets only allow participants that meet certain criteria, which can be based on factors like the amount of money held, the investor’s geographical location, knowledge of the markets or the profession of the participant.

Discussion

The role of political environment in financial development is considered through several channels: how the political connectedness of managers affects firm valuation and ease of raising capital; the way politicians influence banks (and other companies) trying to attract electoral support; the ability of interest groups with political power to shape financial market institutions.

In the early stage of financial system development, the financial market is relatively small and the optimal configuration is for there to be a few banks in the economy. Politicians intervene to expand credit availability to borrowers by providing direct capital subsidies to banks in exchange for some state ownership of banks. In the intermediate stage, the financial market is larger and the optimal configuration involves more banks in the economy, with each being bigger. There is no political intervention in the financial system.

In the advanced stage, the financial market is at its largest and the optimal configuration has even more banks, with each being larger. Political intervention returns, this time in the form of direct-lending regulation that mandates that banks make loans to low-quality borrowers, even if doing so imposes losses on banks. Thus, the relationship between political intervention and financial system development is non-monotonic, and politicians intervene when financial markets are underdeveloped or highly developed.



Politicians cannot come to an agreement on the debt ceiling, what economic consequences should we expect?



If Politicians Do Not Reach Agreement

If politicians fail to reach a deal to increase the debt ceiling, there would be a large fall in federal spending. The decline in federal purchases of private sector goods and services would reduce aggregate demand, and this could slow or even reverse the recovery (it could also threaten the delivery of critical services that some people depend upon). In addition, the failure to pay wages to federal workers would disrupt household finances and cause a further decline in demand, as would the failure of the government to pay its bills for the goods and services it has already purchased from the private sector (and it could even threaten some households and businesses with bankruptcy should the problem persist).

If Politician Reach Agreement

It depends on the nature of the agreement. If the immediate budget cuts are large and poorly targeted, the resulting impact on the economy could threaten the recovery. Those who favor large and immediate cuts argue that the increase in the confidence of investors will more than compensate for the decline in demand.

The best outcome of the negotiations over the debt ceiling would be for both sides to agree upon a credible framework for reducing the debt level over time (which must include tax increases). That would give investors the confidence they need that politicians will be able to solve the debt problem without threatening the economic recovery or harming long-run economic growth.
The past behavior of politicians and the lack of credibility on budget issues, faith in politicians are so low that any agreement about the future will likely be discounted substantially. This means politicians need to show people that they are serious about the debt Problem by making large, immediate cuts -- promises are not enough -- and we could be headed for slower growth of output and employment, or even outright declines.

CONCLUSION

According to the discussion above the faith of financial market in politician ability is losing due to the slow performances and public response to the financial market. Politicians need to show people that they are serious about the debt Problem by making large, immediate cuts -- promises are not enough.
………………………………………………………………………………………………………
Submitted to: Prof. Gurdeepak Singh
Submitted by: Nitika Lamba (MBA I-C)








Monday, September 5, 2011

Happy Teacher's day sir...!!!

wish you a very-2 happy teacher's day sir...

regards
Pooja


hapiee teachers day sir.....

general agreement on trade in services (please check)

The General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) is a treaty of the World Trade Organization (WTO) that entered into force in January 1995 as a result of the Uruguay Round negotiations. The treaty was created to extend the multilateral trading system to service sector, in the same way the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) provides such a system for merchandise trade

While the overall goal of the GATS is to remove barriers to trade, members are free to choose which sectors are to be progressively "liberalised", i.e. marketised and privatised, under which mode of supply a particular sector would be covered under, and to what extent to which liberalisation will occur over a given period of time. Members' commitments are governed by a "ratchet effect", meaning that commitments are one-way and should not be wound back once entered into. This reason for this is the creation of a stable trading climate. Article XXI allows Members to withdraw commitments and so far two members have used this option (USA and EU). In November 2008, Bolivia notified that it will withdraw its health services commitments.

purpose of the GATS

The creation of the GATS was one of the landmark achievements of the Uruguay Round, whose results entered into force in January 1995. The GATS was inspired by essentially the same objectives as its counterpart in merchandise trade, the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT): creating a credible and reliable system of international trade rules; ensuring fair and equitable treatment of all participants (principle of non-discrimination); stimulating economic activity through guaranteed policy bindings; and promoting trade and development through progressive liberalization.

Services

The GATS applies in principle to all service sectors, with two exceptions.

Article I(3) of the GATS excludes “services supplied in the exercise of governmental authority”. These are services that are supplied neither on a commercial basis nor in competition with other suppliers. Cases in point are social security schemes and any other public service, such as health or education, that is provided at non-market conditions.

Further, the Annex on Air Transport Services exempts from coverage measures affecting air traffic rights and services directly related to the exercise of such rights

basic obligations under the GATS

Under Article II of the GATS, Members are held to extend immediately and unconditionally to services or services suppliers of all other Members “treatment no less favourable than that accorded to like services and services suppliers of any other country”. This amounts to a prohibition, in principle, of preferential arrangements among groups of Members in individual sectors or of reciprocity provisions which confine access benefits to trading partners granting similar treatment

Other generally applicable obligations include the establishment of administrative review and appeals procedures and disciplines on the operation of monopolies and exclusive suppliers

“built-in agenda” of the GATS

At the sectoral level, negotiations on basic telecommunications were successfully concluded in February 1997 and negotiations in the area of financial services in mid-December 1997. In these negotiations, Members achieved significantly improved commitments with a broader level of participation.

ACHIEVEMENTS

Under Article XIX, Members are (self-)committed to launch successive rounds of services negotiations with a view to achieving a progressively higher level of liberalization. The first such round was to begin no later than five years from the date of entry into force of the Agreement and, accordingly, started in January 2000. The initial focus was mainly on the built-in agenda with a view to creating a sound basis for the negotiations of new specific commitments. During a stock-taking session in March 2001, Members agreed on the Negotiating Guidelines and Procedures for the new round (document S/L/93) and discussed a first series of sector proposals which had been submitted by individual countries; the Guidelines and all proposals are available on the WTO Web Site

Thursday, September 1, 2011

The Scale of Debt Crisis


INTRODUCTION

Nowadays, there are two things i.e. Debt settlement and debt help in demand. Both are reducing the financial burden of the consumers. One of the easy and convenient ways of getting out of the financial difficulty is online debt settlement. Many Debt Help are launching to reduce the debt. Debt Reduction Help may help you to find out solutions and get you out of debt trap, if you are drowning in debt and feeling helpless. By adopting this help, you can cleverly manipulate of your funds and also free of debts within the shortest time possible. Everyone knows that debt disturbs the mental stability of the humans. If anyone has debt, then its liability keeps one under huge pressure. Debt problem is increasing day by day and it becomes a global issue.

Loans are borrowed by people from the financial institutions and are not able to pay because of the overspending and variety of other reasons which has form a part of life. The unpaid amount is rising because the due amount is unpaid. The lenders in turn want immediate payment of their loan amount. Many debt settlement companies are established through which consumers can get debt help. During their financial crisis, these are the organizations which help the consumers. Various debts settlement programs are offered by such companies to overcome from this problem. These organizations advice their customers and even recommend them ways of conquering.
A huge interest of the unpaid loans is reduced by this process. The dues also get reduced up to 50 to 60%.Nowadays; everyone wants fast alternatives and solutions at finger tips

According to J W Smith

The size of the debt trap can be controlled to claim all surplus production of a society, but if allowed to continue to grow the magic of compound interest dictates it is unsustainable. One trillion dollars compounded at 10 percent per year become $117 trillion in fifty years and $13.78 quadrillion in one hundred years, about $3.5 million for every man, woman and child in the Third World. Their debt is 50 percent greater than this and has been compounding at twice that rate — over 20 percent per year between 1973 and 1993, from $100 billion to $1.5 trillion [only $400 billion of the $1.5 trillion was actually borrowed money. The rest was runaway compound interest]. If Third World debt continues to compound at 20 percent per year, the $117 trillion debt will be reached in eighteen years and the $13.78 quadrillion debts in thirty-four years.

Instead of developing the Third World, it is clear that the Third World dependency is a policy of the major powers, and the world leaders insist on restricting consumer buying power in the Third World as a price for what is an essentially maintenance loan. Meanwhile, these same leaders easily agreed that West Germany must put $1 trillion into the former East Germany to simultaneously build industry, social infrastructure, and markets. And when the relatively poorer countries of Greece, Portugal, and Spain wanted to join the Common Market, these leaders “implemented a 15-year plan which included massive transfers of direct aid, designed to accelerate development, raise wages, regularize safety and environmental standards, and improve living conditions in poorer nations.”... Emerging former colonies receive no such care for their economies to become viable


EFFECTS

The debt crisis of 1982 was the most serious of Latin America's history. Incomes dropped; economic growth stagnated; because of the need to reduce importations, unemployment rose to high levels; and inflation reduced the buying power of the middle classes.
In response to the crisis most nations abandoned their import substitution industrialization (ISI) models of economy and adopted an export-oriented industrialization strategy, usually the neoliberal strategy encouraged by the IMF, though there are exceptions such as Chile and Costa Rica who adopted reformist strategies. A massive process of capital outflow, particularly to the United States, served to depreciate the exchange rates, thereby raising the real interest rate. Real GDP growth rate for the region was only 2.3 percent between 1980 and 1985, but in per capita terms Latin America experienced negative growth of almost 9 percent. Between 1982 and 1985, Latin America paid back 108 billion dollars. The debt crisis is one of the elements which contributed to the collapse of some authoritarian dictatorships in the region, such as Brazil's military regime and the Argentine bureaucratic-authoritarian regime.

CONCLUSION:-

It is concluded that In order to achieve such a partitioning, there has to be a consistent set of accounts linking the deficits (flows) with the debt (stocks). In calculating the real rates, the authors use the implicit price deflation for GDP at market prices. The interest rate on government debt is calculated by dividing interest payments during a financial year by the stock of liabilities outstanding at the beginning of the year.

REFERENCE:-

www.wikipedia.org
www.globalissues.com